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The benchmark 10-year Treasury yield is hovering below levels that caused a massive crash last fall. Yet, persistent inflation and weak Treasury auctions could boost yields past the 5% mark. NEW LOOK Sign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. That's why Treasury auctions have become attention-grabbers for markets, as investors watch to see if there are enough willing buyers. The dangers of 5%When 10-year yields broke through the 5% mark last fall, traders panicked and the S&P 500 nosedived nearly 6% from October's peak-to-trough.
Persons: , That's, Treasurys, Bill Gross, Ed Yardeni, Eric Sterner, Yardeni, hasn't, they're, Goldman Sachs, Sterner Organizations: Service, Treasury, Business, Treasury Department, Federal, Yardeni Research, Investment, SEI, Apollon Wealth Management
Dollar steady, yen fragile after Fed comments dash rate cut bets
  + stars: | 2024-04-17 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +4 min
The comments follow a slew of data in recent weeks that highlight the strength of U.S. economy along with persistent inflation. Against a basket of currencies, the dollar was last at 106.33, just below the five month peak of 106.51 touched on Tuesday. I'm watching dollar strength and U.S. real yields very closely." On Wednesday, the yen was last at 154.65 per dollar, having touched the 34-year low of 154.79 in the previous session. The Australian dollar rose 0.12% to $0.641, while the New Zealand dollar rose 0.22 to $0.589.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Powell, Powell's, " Powell, Ben Bennett, Kieran Williams, InTouch Capital's Williams Organizations: Federal Reserve, U.S, Traders, Investment Management, Asia FX, InTouch, CPI, New Zealand Locations: Washington, Asia, JPY, Japan
The court ruled unanimously that officials can be deemed "state actors" when making use of social media and can therefore face litigation if they block or mute a member of the public. The court held that conduct on social media can be viewed as a state action when the official in question "possessed actual authority to speak on the state's behalf" and "purported to exercise that authority." While the officials in both cases have low profiles, the ruling will apply to all public officials who use social media to engage with the public. The cases raised the question of whether public officials' posts and other social media activity constitute part of their governmental functions. The court is wrestling with a whole series of social media-related free speech issues in its current term, which runs until June.
Persons: WASHINGTON —, Donald Trump's, Amy Coney Barrett, , Barrett, Trump, Elon Musk, Michelle O'Connor, Ratcliff, T.J, Zane, Christopher, Kimberly Garnier, O'Connor, Christopher Garnier, James Freed, Kevin Lindke, Freed Organizations: Twitter, Poway Unified School District, of, Circuit, Southern District of, Port, U.S Locations: Southern California, Michigan, California, San Francisco, Southern District, Southern District of California, Port Huron City
Dollar waits on U.S. inflation reading, bitcoin tops $60,000
  + stars: | 2024-02-29 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
The U.S. dollar was firm and the yen was headed for a monthly loss in the lead up to U.S. inflation data that could ruffle the interest rate outlook, while bitcoin surged above $60,000. The U.S. dollar was firm and the yen was headed for a monthly loss in the lead up to U.S. inflation data that could ruffle the interest rate outlook, while bitcoin surged above $60,000. Bitcoin is on a tear and topped $63,000 overnight as it rides a wave of cash rushing to new U.S. bitcoin exchange-traded funds. It is up more than 45% this month, its largest gain since December 2020 and a record high above $69,000 is within sight. The New Zealand dollar nursed losses on bets that rate hikes there are finished.
Persons: bitcoin, Masato Kanda, Sue Ann Lee, Kristina Clifton, Sterling Organizations: U.S, New Zealand, Reserve Bank of New, Federal, Commonwealth Bank of Australia Locations: Japan, U.S, Asia, Sao Paulo, Reserve Bank of New Zealand, Europe
AdvertisementRising mortgage rates are inflating mortgage payments, which are now roughly $110 under October's all-time peak, Redfin reported. With the 30-year fixed mortgage rate averaging 6.63% in the four weeks through January, the median monthly payment hit $2,607. As mortgage rates loosely follow interest levels, renewed signals that interest rates will stay higher for longer are instead leading to a mortgage rate rebound. Redfin expects mortgage rates to remain elevated near current levels until the Fed cuts interest rates, which may be months away from happening. "I'm advising buyers — especially first-timers — that the mortgage rates they see in the news aren't the be-all and end-all.
Persons: Redfin, , Luis Rojas, hasn't, Rojas, Fannie Mae's Organizations: Service, Federal Reserve Locations: It's
Palestinians inspect a damaged house after an Israeli air strike on Rafah in southern Gaza on January 27. The Israel Defense Forces claimed UNRWA facilities were used for "terrorist purposes" in a statement on Saturday. Situation deteriorating at Khan Younis hospitals: Nasser Hospital, the main medical center in the southern Gaza city, is running out of its supply of blood, anesthesia and other medications, the Hamas-controlled Ministry of Health said Saturday. Where hostage talks stand: Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu challenged Qatar on Saturday, saying, "They position themselves as intermediaries. The Houthis claim the attacks are in solidarity with the Palestinian people as a result of the war in Gaza — an argument the US has repeatedly rejected.
Persons: Abed Rahim Khatib, Israel —, Younis, Benjamin Netanyahu, I’m, Bill Burns Organizations: Reuters CNN, Israel Defense Forces, United, Palestine Red Crescent Society, IDF, CNN, UN, United Nations Relief, Works Agency for Palestine Refugees, Nasser Hospital, of Health, Hamas, Hospital, Qatar, CIA, Command, Houthi Locations: Rafah, Gaza, Israel, United Nations, Palestine, Hamas, Qatar, Marshall, Gulf, Aden, Iran
EU Targets Six People Under New Hamas Sanctions Scheme
  + stars: | 2024-01-19 | by ( Jan. | At P.M. | ) www.usnews.com   time to read: +2 min
BRUSSELS (Reuters) - The European Union on Friday imposed asset freezes and travel bans on six people it said were linked to Hamas, under a new sanctions regime targeting the Palestinian militant group. The EU already listed Hamas as a terrorist organisation but moved to create a legal framework focused on the group after its deadly attack on southern Israel on Oct. 7. The Council listed those sanctioned as Sudan-based financier Abdelbasit Hamza Elhassan Mohamed Khair, Nabil Chouman, the former's son Khaled Chouman, senior Hamas financier Rida Ali Khamis, senior Hamas operative Musa Dudin and Algeria-based financier Aiman Ahmad Al Duwaik. "The new sanctions framework shall apply until 19 January 2025. A senior EU official earlier on Friday said the first batch of sanctioned individuals was linked to providing funds to the group.
Persons: Abdelbasit Hamza Elhassan Mohamed Khair, Nabil Chouman, Khaled Chouman, Rida Ali Khamis, Musa Dudin, Aiman Ahmad Al Duwaik, Josep Borrell, Benjamin Netanyahu, Tassilo Hummel, Sudip Kar, Gupta, Andrew Gray Organizations: European Union, EU, of, Hamas, U.S . Treasury Locations: BRUSSELS, Israel, Gaza, Sudan, Algeria, United States, Turkey, Saudi Arabia
The bank's board increased CEO Jamie Dimon's pay by 4% to $36 million. So it's probably not surprising that its longtime CEO, Jamie Dimon, is getting a raise from the bank's board, a 4% bump, to $36 million, for 2023. The bank disclosed Dimon's compensation in a securities filing on Thursday. His pay consists of an annual base salary of $1.5 million, $5 million in cash, and $29.5 million in performance share units, according to the filing. Dimon's compensation was $34.5 million for both 2022 and 2021.
Persons: JPMorgan Chase, Jamie Dimon's, , it's, Jamie Dimon, Mike Mayo, Dimon Organizations: JPMorgan, Service, JPMorgan Chase, First, CNBC Locations: First Republic, Wells Fargo, Wall
Read previewIn the wake of US and UK airstrikes in Yemen early Friday, Russia sought to portray itself as an opponent to impetuous Western aggression. Zakharova said the strikes showed a "complete disregard for international law" and were "escalating the situation in the region." AdvertisementYemen's Houthi loyalists lift their weapons as they take part in an armed parade on December 20, 2023, in Amran province, Yemen. The Houthis say they are acting in support of Palestinians amid Israel's attacks on Gaza, and are targeting vessels bound for Israel. A wider conflict in the region would divert Western focus away from helping defend Ukraine from Russia's invasion, and sap Western resources.
Persons: , Maria Zakharova, Zakharova, Iran's, Yemen's, Mohammed Hamoud, Israel, shouldn't, Hanna Notte, . Robert Dover, Vladimir Putin, KREMLIN.RU, Putin audaciously, Putin, Anna Borshchevskaya Organizations: Service, Business, UN, New York Times, Center for Strategic, International Studies, UN Security, University of Hull, Dover, United, United Arab Emirates, REUTERS, Hamas, Washington Institute Locations: Yemen, Russia, Amran province, Iran, Red, Gaza, Israel, Africa, Russian, Moscow, Ukraine, Qasr Al Watan, Abu Dhabi, United Arab, Handout, REUTERS Russia, Russia's, Saudi Arabia, UAE
Caterpillar outperformed a lackluster industrial sector and kept pace with last year's strong market. While falling modestly in the next two sessions, Caterpillar rose 23.4% in 2023. Club name Caterpillar was last year's ninth-best performer of the 30 stocks that make up the Dow Jones Industrials Average , which gained 13.7% in 2023. The onslaught on federal spending was a prime reason the Club first initiated a position in Caterpillar back in January 2023. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade.
Persons: Dow Jones, it's, Jim Cramer, Jim Umpleby, Umpleby, Joe Biden's, Caterpillar's financials, Jim Cramer's, Jim, Drake Nickels, Smith Organizations: Caterpillar, Dow, CAT, Big Tech, Federal, Dealers, U.S, Joe Biden's Infrastructure Investment, Jobs, Law, Management, CNBC, CAL, Marine Corps, West, Marine Corps Base Locations: Camp Pendleton , California
Job openings tumbled in October to their lowest in 2½ years, a sign the historically tight labor market could be loosening. The number was well below the 9.4 million estimate from Dow Jones and the lowest since March 2021. Federal Reserve policymakers watch the report, known as the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey, closely for signs of labor slack. While job openings fell dramatically, total hires only nudged lower while layoffs and separations were modestly higher. Declines in job openings were widespread by industry.
Persons: Dow Jones, Tuan Nguyen, nonfarm Organizations: Labor Department, Dow, Federal Reserve, Labor, Survey, Fed, RSM, Committee, Traders, CNBC PRO Locations: U.S, October's
A waiter picks up the terrace of the Zurich bar at Placa de Catalunya in Barcelona, Spain April 4, 2023. A PMI for the services sector rose to 48.7 from October's 47.8. "The sombre outlook is reinforced by the fifth consecutive monthly shrinkage in new business. An index measuring new business - a gauge of demand - was below 50 for a fifth month although it did rise to 46.7 from 45.6. The composite future output index rose to 56.0 from 55.6.
Persons: Nacho, Cyrus de la Rubia, Jonathan Cable, Susan Fenton Organizations: Placa de, REUTERS, P Global, PMI, Hamburg Commercial Bank, Thomson Locations: Zurich, Barcelona, Spain, October's, Hamburg
The findings present a mixed picture of the vast services sector as an official survey last week showed the sector unexpectedly contracted for the first time since December last year, prompting calls for more stimulus measures. "Both services supply and demand expanded, as the market continued to heal," said Wang Zhe, economist at Caixin Insight Group. Analysts say the different survey sizes and composition of surveyed companies might explain the discrepancy between the Caixin and official PMI readings. Caixin/S&P's composite PMI, which includes both manufacturing and services activity, grew to 51.6 from 50.0 in October, marking the strongest reading since August. According to the Caixin services survey, employment fell for the first time since the start of 2023 as some firms maintained a cautious approach to hiring.
Persons: Wang Zhe, Wang, Louise Loo, spender, Loo, Ellen Zhang, Ryan Woo, Shri Navaratnam Organizations: P Global, Caixin Insight, PMI, Oxford, Thomson Locations: BEIJING, October's, China
[1/2] A man passes by The Federal Reserve Bank of New York in New York City, U.S., March 13, 2023. REUTERS/Brendan McDermid/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsNEW YORK, Dec 4 (Reuters) - Underlying inflation pressures eased in October compared to the prior month, according to a report released on Monday by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York. The bank said that its Multivariate Core Trend (MCT) inflation reading for October stood at 2.6%, from September’s 2.88%. The NY Fed MCT index is designed to measure inflation persistence and how broadly price pressures are changing. The NY Fed MCT reading has tracked a broader retreat in price pressures.
Persons: Brendan McDermid, Jerome Powell, John Williams, Powell, Williams, Michael S, Mark Porter, Bill Berkrot Organizations: Federal Reserve Bank of New, REUTERS, NY, New York Fed, Fed, Thomson Locations: Federal Reserve Bank of New York, New York City, U.S, September’s
LAUNCESTON, Australia, Dec 4 (Reuters) - The two main spot prices for iron ore diverged last week, with Singapore-traded contracts gaining but China's domestic futures posting a decline. The exchange said on Nov. 30 that it will continue to strengthen its supervision of iron ore futures to maintain what it termed the safe and stable operation of the market. But despite the travails of the property sector, China's iron ore imports have been relatively robust so far in 2023. In the same week last year iron ore stockpiles were 137.5 million metric tons and were 155.4 million in the same week on 2021. History suggests that the authorities can cool iron ore prices, but only for a relatively short period, especially if the market conditions are supportive for stronger prices.
Persons: Sonali Paul Organizations: Singapore Exchange, Dalian Commodity Exchange, National Development, Reform, it's, Reuters, Thomson Locations: LAUNCESTON, Australia, Singapore, Beijing, Dalian
Wall Street will endeavor to keep the November momentum going in the final month of 2023, as investors look for a broadening out of the rally that has been dominated this year by a handful of tech names. It also marked the best monthly performance for the S & P 500 and Nasdaq Composite since July 2022. While the S & P 500 cap-weighted index climbed more than 18% this year, the equal-weighted index is up by just over 4%. They highlight the attractive relative valuation of value stocks compared to growth stocks, as well as the significant underweighting of value names in portfolios by traders. And the question is, is it going to be in 2024, is it going to be 2025 or in 2026?
Persons: Stocks, Hogan, Olivier Sarfati, GenTrust's Sarfati, Carlos Asilis, Asilis, FactSet, nonfarm payrolls, They're, TK, Nonfarm Organizations: Dow Jones, Dow, Nasdaq, Treasury, Riley, Apple, Nvidia, Meta, Microsoft, Tesla, Expedia, Paramount Global, Russell, Glovista Investments, PMI, Services PMI, ADP, Labor, Consumer Credit, Broadcom Locations: U.S, Michigan
An employee works on a production line manufacturing steel structures at a factory in Huzhou, Zhejiang province, China May 17, 2020. The data shows that factories are producing less and hiring fewer people," Dan Wang, chief economist at Hang Seng Bank China, said of China's PMI readings, which have different samples. Export-reliant Japan, South Korea and Taiwan bore the brunt of sluggish global demand with their manufacturing activity remaining stagnant in November, surveys showed. Japan's final au Jibun Bank manufacturing PMI fell to 48.3 in November from 48.7 in October, shrinking at the fastest pace in nine months. Manufacturing activity also shrank in Taiwan, Vietnam and Malaysia, but expanded in Indonesia and the Philippines, the surveys showed.
Persons: Dan Wang, Toru Nishihama, Leika Kihara, Jamie Freed Organizations: REUTERS, PMI, Korea Soft, P Global, Hang Seng Bank, Dai, Research, Jibun Bank, Research Institute, Thomson Locations: Huzhou, Zhejiang province, China, Japan, S, TOKYO, Europe, United States, Hang Seng Bank China, South Korea, Taiwan, Asia, Vietnam, Malaysia, Indonesia, Philippines
Americans are doom saving, too
  + stars: | 2023-12-01 | by ( Dominick Reuter | ) www.businessinsider.com   time to read: +4 min
While some are "doom spending" — mindlessly spending money — others are looking for ways to save. <ore than a quarter of Americans say they're turning to the financial equivalent — doom spending — to quell their concerns. If the antidote to "doomscrolling" is putting down the phone, then the opposite of "doom spending" might well be putting down the credit card in favor of "doom saving." AdvertisementAnd while the Intuit report that coined the "doom spending" neologism noted that a troubling 22% of Americans have no savings at all. AdvertisementSpending on discounts and deals is, of course, not saving — it's still spending — but the mindset of "doom saving" is about responding to uncertainty by trying to conserve a finite resource.
Persons: , Jamie Dimon, we've, Brian Cornell, Doug McMillon, — it's, they'd Organizations: Service, Intuit, Walmart, Target
Euro zone factory downturn eased a touch in November -PMI
  + stars: | 2023-12-01 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +2 min
REUTERS/Ina Fassbender/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsLONDON, Dec 1 (Reuters) - The broad-based downturn in euro zone manufacturing activity eased slightly last month but the sector remained deeply rooted in contractionary territory, prompting factories to trim staffing levels for a sixth straight month. HCOB's final euro zone manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI), compiled by S&P Global, rose to 44.2 in November from October's 43.1, above a preliminary estimate of 43.8. An index measuring output, which feeds into a composite PMI due on Tuesday and seen as a good gauge of economic health, climbed to 44.6 from 43.1. "November has not been the prettiest, and this does not refer only to the weather but also to the situation in the manufacturing sector of the euro zone," said Cyrus de la Rubia, chief economist at Hamburg Commercial Bank. The employment index dropped to a low not seen since August 2020 when the COVID-19 pandemic was cementing its grip on the world.
Persons: Ina Fassbender, Cyrus de la Rubia, Rubia, Jonathan Cable, Toby Chopra Organizations: ThyssenKrupp AG, REUTERS, P, Hamburg Commercial Bank, Thomson Locations: German, Duisburg, October's, Hamburg
Yields and prices have an inverted relationship and one basis point equals 0.01%. The 10-year Treasury yield was up by 2 basis point at 4.299%, after having fallen below 4.3% for the first time since September on Wednesday. The 2-year Treasury yield was nearly 1 basis point higher at 4.657%. U.S. Treasury yields held steady on Thursday as investors assessed the outlook for Federal reserve monetary policy and awaited key economic data that could give fresh inflation insights. Also on Thursday, initial weekly jobless claims and pending home sales for October are expected and euro zone inflation data for November will be published.
Persons: Christopher Waller, Jerome Powell Organizations: Wednesday, Wednesday . U.S, Treasury, Federal Reserve, Fed Locations: Wednesday .
Ford (F) issues slightly worse full-year guidance: $10 billion to $10.5 billion in adjusted earnings before interest and taxes (EBIT) and adjusted free cash flow of between $5 billion and $5.5 billion. Citi raises Club holding Costco (COST) price target to $585 per share from $530, citing an acceleration of November sales. Ford (F) issues slightly worse full-year guidance: $10 billion to $10.5 billion in adjusted earnings before interest and taxes (EBIT) and adjusted free cash flow of between $5 billion and $5.5 billion. Ford (F) issues slightly worse full-year guidance: $10 billion to $10.5 billion in adjusted earnings before interest and taxes (EBIT) and adjusted free cash flow of between $5 billion and $5.5 billion. Ford (F) issues slightly worse full-year guidance: $10 billion to $10.5 billion in adjusted earnings before interest and taxes (EBIT) and adjusted free cash flow of between $5 billion and $5.5 billion.
Persons: Marc Benioff, Einstein, Jeff Marks, Charles Munger, Warren Buffett's, Charlie, Peter Arduini, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, Andrew Caballero, Reynolds Organizations: Nasdaq, Dow, UAW, General Motors, Citi, Club, Costco, Barclays, Company, NBA, GE Healthcare, Nvidia, Brands, Barrick, Jim Cramer's Charitable, CNBC, Economic Cooperation, APEC, AFP, Getty Locations: U.S, Asia, San Francisco , California
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWe're looking at 'slow at best' growth in 2024, says former OMB Director Douglas Holtz-EakinBharat Ramamurti, former White House National Economic Council deputy director, and Douglas Holtz-Eakin, American Action Forum president and former Office of Management and Budget director, join 'Squawk Box' to discuss October's PCE inflation data, the state of the U.S. economy, and more.
Persons: Douglas Holtz, Bharat Ramamurti Organizations: White, National Economic Council, Action, of Management Locations: U.S
The Weakest U.S. Housing Report in 13 Years: Existing Home SalesOctober's existing home sales report details the current state of the all-important U.S. housing market and how Americans reacted to mortgage rates that have declined, but still remain much higher than they have been in more than a decade. WSJ's Dion Rabouin breaks it down.
Persons: WSJ's Dion Rabouin Organizations: Weakest, Housing
MOSCOW, Nov 29 (Reuters) - Russia's industrial output growth slowed in October as the unemployment rate dropped to a record low 2.9%, federal statistics showed on Wednesday, with deepening labour shortages showing signs of cooling Moscow's military production capacity. Analysts say wages are growing faster than productivity and the central bank has warned of the impact it has on inflation. Industrial output rose 5.3% year-on-year in October, down from a 5.6% rise in September and driven once again by military production. Rosstat said industrial output had grown since March at a monthly rate of more than 5% compared with the corresponding months of 2022. But when discounting seasonal factors, industrial production dropped 0.4% in October, Rosstat said.
Persons: Maxim Oreshkin, Vladimir Putin, Central Bank Governor Elvira Nabiullina, Rosstat, Alexander Marrow, Darya, Alex Richardson, Alexandra Hudson Organizations: Kremlin, Reuters, VW, Central Bank Governor, Alexandra Hudson Our, Thomson Locations: MOSCOW, Russia, Volkswagen's, Moscow, Ukraine, Putin's Russia
Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) on November 15, 2023 in New York City. U.S. stock futures opened higher on Wednesday night as all three major stock indexes prepared to wrap a winning November. S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 futures climbed 0.07% and 0.10%, respectively. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite slipped 0.16% during the day, but is also roughly 0.7% away from its 2023 closing high. The S&P 500 is up 8.5% in November, while the Nasdaq has advanced nearly 11%.
Persons: Salesforce, Nutanix, Dow, Jay Woods, We've Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Dow, Freedom Capital Markets, CNBC, Fed, Kroger, Federal Reserve Locations: New York City . U.S, Snowflake, Nutanix
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